Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.029591 0.035158 0.040959 0.047415 0.054361 0.061577 0.069607
2026-01-25 0.021124 0.028927 0.037598 0.047765 0.059196 0.071513 0.085659
2026-02-01 0.015455 0.024338 0.034815 0.047646 0.062569 0.079079 0.098455
2026-02-08 0.010437 0.019444 0.030802 0.045340 0.062801 0.082583 0.106233
2026-02-15 0.007405 0.016419 0.028541 0.044669 0.064552 0.087497 0.115316
2026-02-22 0.005559 0.014624 0.027551 0.045311 0.067664 0.093825 0.125873
2026-03-01 0.004166 0.013177 0.026804 0.046088 0.070804 0.100078 0.136251
2026-03-08 0.003267 0.012321 0.026742 0.047651 0.074834 0.107329 0.147745
2026-03-15 0.002377 0.011213 0.026167 0.048427 0.077803 0.113249 0.157627
2026-03-22 0.002239 0.011603 0.027835 0.052234 0.084609 0.123805 0.172993
2026-03-29 0.001303 0.009853 0.026016 0.051133 0.085056 0.126576 0.179067
2026-04-05 0.000861 0.009065 0.025626 0.051953 0.087931 0.132275 0.188602
2026-04-12 0.000442 0.008037 0.024804 0.052226 0.090233 0.137464 0.197791
2026-04-19 0.000178 0.007156 0.024136 0.052681 0.092771 0.142969 0.207406
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.006176 0.023141 0.052571 0.094503 0.147435 0.215741
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004618 0.020734 0.050146 0.092990 0.147730 0.218920
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003740 0.019509 0.049438 0.093743 0.150837 0.225489
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003307 0.019182 0.050116 0.096382 0.156327 0.234973
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002949 0.018963 0.050934 0.099199 0.162033 0.244714
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002805 0.019250 0.052579 0.103173 0.169224 0.256292
2026-06-07 NaN 0.002500 0.019057 0.053396 0.105963 0.174882 0.265965
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002865 0.020739 0.057397 0.113287 0.186413 0.282936
2026-06-21 NaN 0.002192 0.019407 0.056240 0.113245 0.188391 0.288035